A new poll reveals a fiercely competitive race for New Jersey governor between Republican Jack Ciattarelli and Democratic Rep. Mikie Sherrill, with both candidates locked in a statistical tie. The Quantus Insights Poll indicates Sherrill leads Ciattarelli 48.1 percent to 45.8 percent among likely voters, a margin within the survey’s error range.
Ciattarelli’s recent surge has been fueled by strong support from independent voters, where he holds a 51 percent to 38 percent advantage. This marks a dramatic turnaround from earlier polls, including a Labor Day survey that showed Sherrill with a 10-point lead. The shift has positioned the race as a dead heat, with Sherrill’s campaign struggling to maintain momentum.
Sherrill’s standing has been further complicated by a scandal involving cheating at the U.S. Naval Academy, which resulted in her being barred from walking with her classmates at graduation. Meanwhile, Ciattarelli’s gains have drawn scrutiny, as his support among independents continues to grow.
The latest RealClearPolitics polling aggregate shows Sherrill holding a 4.7 percentage point lead, though the data has faced criticism for underestimating Ciattarelli’s backing in prior elections. The outcome remains uncertain as both campaigns intensify their efforts ahead of the November vote.
